Viendo archivo del viernes, 15 abril 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Apr 15 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 105 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Apr 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity increased to moderate levels. Region
1190 (N13W26) produced an M1/1F flare at 15/1712Z. Associated with
this event were discrete radio emissions ranging from 4995 MHz -
15400 MHz. Occasional C-class flares were also observed during the
period. Region 1190 and Region 1193 (N17E44) remain the most
significant regions. Both Regions 1190 and 1193 showed increases in
areal coverage. A filament was observed lifting at 14/2324Z on GOES
SXI. A CME was observed on SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery at 15/0036Z, with a
speed of approximately 390 km/s. STEREO imagery showed the CME is
expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels, with C-class flares expected for the next three days
(16-18 April). There is also a slight chance for M-class flares
during the period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (16-18
April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Apr a 18 Apr
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Apr 129 Previsto 16 Apr-18 Apr 135/140/145 Media de 90 Días 15 Apr 103
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Apr 003/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Apr 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Apr-18 Apr 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Apr a 18 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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