Viendo archivo del domingo, 10 abril 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Apr 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 100 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Apr 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Only B-class events were
observed. Region 1185 (N18E01) grew from an area of 30 millionths to
60 millionths. Region 1186 (N23E06) grew from 40 millionths to 70
millionths. Regions 1188 (S24W34) and 1189 (N23W16) are now plage
regions. A CME was observed on SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery on the
Northeast limb at approximately 10/0312Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a slight chance for C-class flares for the next
three days (11 - 13 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated active
levels at mid-latitudes on day one (11 April). The increase in
activity is due to a coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is
expected to decrease to mostly quiet levels on days two and three
(12 - 13 April) as the coronal hole high-speed stream effects wane.
The CME referenced in paragraph 1A, is not expected to be
geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Apr a 13 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Apr 105 Previsto 11 Apr-13 Apr 095/100/100 Media de 90 Días 10 Apr 101
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Apr 004/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Apr 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Apr-13 Apr 010/012-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Apr a 13 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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