Viendo archivo del lunes, 11 abril 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Apr 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 101 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Apr 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity was low. At 11/0912Z GOES 15 XRS
detected a B9.2 flare. The flare was off the east limb from
returning old Region 1176 (L= 278). A CME was observed on Stereo B
EUV imagery at approximately the same time. This region also
produced a C-class flare at 11/1602Z. The other regions on the
visible disk were quiet and stable. New Region 1190 (N12E35) was
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a chance for C-class flares for the next three days
(12 - 14 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. Solar wind
speeds measured at the ACE Spacecraft increased from approximately
360 km/s to approximately 420 km/s in response to a coronal hole
high-speed stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels for the next three days (12 -
14 April) as the coronal hole high-speed stream effects decrease.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Apr a 14 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Apr 106 Previsto 12 Apr-14 Apr 100/100/105 Media de 90 Días 11 Apr 101
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Apr 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Apr 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Apr-14 Apr 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Apr a 14 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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