Viendo archivo del sábado, 9 abril 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Apr 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 099 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Apr 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. A C1 flare was
observed from Region 1184 (N14W85) at 09/1545Z. Region 1185 (N18E15)
produced a B8/Sf flare at 09/0050Z. A partial-halo CME was observed
on SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery at 09/0024Z, with a speed of approximately
275 km/s. Region 1185 (N18E15) showed an increase in spots. No
regions were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for C-class flares for the next three days (10-12
April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated
active levels at high latitudes.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated active
levels at mid-latitudes and isolated minor storm levels at high
latitudes, for the next two days (10-11 April). The increase in
activity is due to a coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is
expected to decrease to predominately quiet levels on day three (12
April). The partial-halo CME referenced in paragraph IA, is not
expected to be geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Apr a 12 Apr
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Apr 105 Previsto 10 Apr-12 Apr 100/095/100 Media de 90 Días 09 Apr 100
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Apr 005/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Apr 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Apr-12 Apr 012/012-010/012-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Apr a 12 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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