Viendo archivo del miércoles, 6 abril 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Apr 06 2225 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
:::::::::: CORRECTED COPY :::::::::: SDF Número 096 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Apr 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity increased to low levels. A C1 flare was
observed off the east limb at 06/1807Z. Region 1184 (N16W41) showed
an increase in area and spot number. New Region 1186 (N22E58) was
numbered as an Axx spot with two spots.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low during the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels, with an isolated
minor storm period observed at mid-latitudes and major storm levels
at high latitudes. The increase in activity is due to a CME
associated with a B8/Sf flare at 02/2347Z. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated active
levels at high latitudes, on day one (07 April). Activity is
expected to decrease to predominantly quiet levels on day two (08
April). Quiet to unsettled levels are expected, with isolated active levels on day three (09 April), due to expected coronal hole high-speed stream effects.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Apr a 09 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Apr 117 Previsto 07 Apr-09 Apr 117/117/117 Media de 90 Días 06 Apr 099
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Apr 004/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Apr 019/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Apr-09 Apr 008/008-005/005-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Apr a 09 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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