Viendo archivo del martes, 5 abril 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Apr 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 095 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Apr 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Only B-class flares were
observed. Region 1185 (N23E50) increased from 50 millionths to
approximately 100 millionths in the past 24 hours. Region 1183
(N14W54) decreased from 90 millionths to approximately 20 millionths
in the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days (06 - 08 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The Ace spacecraft
observed an IP shock at 05/1804Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the next three days
(06 - 08 April) in response to the IP shock mentioned above and
coronal hole high speed effects.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Apr a 08 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Apr 109 Previsto 06 Apr-08 Apr 105/100/100 Media de 90 Días 05 Apr 099
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Apr 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Apr 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Apr-08 Apr 005/005-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Apr a 08 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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