Viendo archivo del sábado, 2 abril 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Apr 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 092 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Apr 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1183 (N15W12)
produced only B-class events.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a chance for moderate activity (isolated M-class)
from Region 1183 during the period (03 - 05 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels in response to a
coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS).
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during day one (03
April) with a chance for active levels as CH HSS effects persist.
Activity is expected to decrease to mostly quiet levels during days
two and three (04 - 05 April) as CH HSS effects subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Apr a 05 Apr
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Apr 108 Previsto 03 Apr-05 Apr 110/110/105 Media de 90 Días 02 Apr 098
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Apr 009/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Apr 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Apr-05 Apr 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Apr a 05 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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