Viendo archivo del martes, 1 febrero 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Feb 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 032 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Feb 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with the chance for a C-class flare for the next 3 days
(2-4 February).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled until a period of
active conditions occurred at mid latitudes at 01/18Z associated
with the onset of recurrent coronal hole effects.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with a chance for a minor storm
on day 1 (2 February) due to coronal hole effects along with
intermittent periods of Bz south. On day 2 (3 February), unsettled
to active conditions are forecast until the anticipated mid-day
arrival of the CME from 30 January, when an isolated minor storm
will become likely. Conditions on day 3 (4 February) are expected to
be mostly unsettled to active as coronal hole effects begin to wane.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Feb a 04 Feb
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Feb 080 Previsto 02 Feb-04 Feb 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 01 Feb 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 Jan 004/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Feb 010/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Feb-04 Feb 012/012-015/015-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Feb a 04 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 60% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 50% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 15% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 60% | 20% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 60% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 20% | 15% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
sábado, 4 mayo 2024
Sunspot region 3663, X1 solar flare
lunes, 22 abril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
sábado, 23 marzo 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Últimos mensajes del foro
AR3663 142AR3664 12Unproven theories 383Weakening of Earths magnetic field due to geomagnetic excursion 10CME 2024-MAY-01 south of AR3654 C5.8 6
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/05/05 | X1.2 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/05/05 | M7.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/05/02 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Last 30 days | 153.8 +59.7 |