Viendo archivo del lunes, 31 enero 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jan 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 031 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Jan 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1150 (S20E24) showed no significant changes and
remains a D-type group with a beta magnetic classification.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for C-class events for the next three days (01-03
February).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the
past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels on day 1 (01 February). Quiet to
unsettled levels with a chance for active periods is expected on
days 2 and 3 (02-03 February), as a recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream becomes geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Feb a 03 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Jan 081 Previsto 01 Feb-03 Feb 082/082/082 Media de 90 Días 31 Jan 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Jan 002/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Jan 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Feb-03 Feb 005/005-008/008-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Feb a 03 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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