Viendo archivo del miércoles, 2 febrero 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Feb 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 033 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Feb 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was very low. A full halo CME was
visible on LASCO C3 starting at 01/2330Z, but appears to be backside
through analysis of the STEREO coronagraphs.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a chance for a C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled throughout the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled on day 1 (3 February) until the
anticipated mid-day arrival of the CME from 30 January, when a minor
storm is likely. Conditions for days 2-3 (4-5 February) are forecast
to begin at mostly unsettled to active and then decrease to
primarily quiet with a few isolated unsettled periods as the coronal
hole effects wane.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Feb a 05 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Feb 079 Previsto 03 Feb-05 Feb 078/078/078 Media de 90 Días 02 Feb 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Feb 007/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Feb 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Feb-05 Feb 015/015-010/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Feb a 05 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 50% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 40% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 60% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 15% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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