Viendo archivo del viernes, 24 diciembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Dec 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 358 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Dec 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No significant events
were observed during the last 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Observations from the ACE
spacecraft indicate a solar sector boundary crossing occurred around
23/2230Z. Density has shown a steady increase through the period
accompanied by increasing solar wind speeds from 240 to 340 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for day one (25 December). Quiet to unsettled
conditions with isolated active levels are expected for days two and
three (26-27 December). Increased activity is due to a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream and possible effects from the CME
observed 23 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Dec a 27 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Dec 079 Previsto 25 Dec-27 Dec 078/080/080 Media de 90 Días 24 Dec 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Dec 001/000 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Dec 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Dec-27 Dec 005/005-008/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Dec a 27 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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