Viendo archivo del sábado, 27 noviembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Nov 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 331 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Nov 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. Region 1127 (N24W71)
was quiet and stable. Region 1128 (S14E35) has decayed to spotless
plage.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (28-30 November).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active. Observations at the
ACE satellite indicated the onset of recurrent coronal hole high
speed stream. Wind speeds reached approximately 450 km/s during the
period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
reached moderate levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled with a slight chance
for an isolated active period on day one (28 November). The increase
is forecast due to elevated solar wind speed from a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream. Observations from the Behind
satellite indicate the enhanced wind speeds should subside during
day one. Days two and three (29-30) November are expected to be
quiet.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Nov a 30 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Nov 077 Previsto 28 Nov-30 Nov 077/077/078 Media de 90 Días 27 Nov 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Nov 000/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Nov 003/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Nov-30 Nov 007/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Nov a 30 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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