Viendo archivo del domingo, 31 octubre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Oct 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 304 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Oct 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1117 (N22W83) produced
two C-class events during the period. The largest of these was a C5
flare at 31/0431Z. Region 1120 (N40E53) showed an increase in areal
coverage and was classified as a Cro-beta spot group. No new regions
were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for days one and two (01-02 November). Activity is
expected to decrease to very low levels on day three (03 November)
as Region 1117 rotates off the solar disk.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to active levels, with a slight chance for a
minor storm period at high latitudes, on day one (01 November). The
increase in activity is expected due to a recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet to
unsettled levels, with active levels at high latitudes, on day two
(02 November). Predominantly quiet levels are expected on day three
(03 November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Nov a 03 Nov
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Oct 081 Previsto 01 Nov-03 Nov 079/078/078 Media de 90 Días 31 Oct 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Oct 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Oct 005/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Nov-03 Nov 010/010-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Nov a 03 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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