Viendo archivo del sábado, 30 octubre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Oct 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 303 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Oct 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1117 (N20W72)
produced several B-class flares. The largest of these was a B6 flare
at 30/1333Z. Region 1117 continued to show decreases in areal
coverage and sunspot count. New Region 1120 (N39E69) was classified
as a Bxo-beta spot group and produced a B2/Sf flare at 30/0728Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels, with a slight chance for an M-class event
from Region 1117.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet, with a single period
of unsettled levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet, with unsettled periods possible
at high latitudes late on day one (31 October). Activity is expected
to increase to quiet to active levels, with a slight chance for a
minor storm period at high latitudes, on day two (01 November) due
to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Quiet to unsettled
levels, with active periods at high latitudes, are expected on day
three (02 October).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Oct a 02 Nov
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Oct 085 Previsto 31 Oct-02 Nov 084/082/080 Media de 90 Días 30 Oct 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Oct 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Oct 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Oct-02 Nov 005/008-010/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Oct a 02 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 01% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 01% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
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