Viendo archivo del viernes, 29 octubre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Oct 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 302 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Oct 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity remained at very low levels. Region 1117
(N20W55) produced occasional B-class flares during the period. The
largest of these was a B4 flare at 29/1732Z. Region 1117 showed a
decrease in areal coverage and sunspot count. No new regions were
numbered during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels, with a slight chance for an M-class event
from Region 1117.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the first day (30
October) due to a weak CME observed on 26 October. Activity is
expected to decrease to quiet levels on the second day (31 October).
Quiet to active levels are expected on the third day (01 November),
with a slight chance for a minor storm period at high latitudes.
The increase in activity is expected due to a recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Oct a 01 Nov
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Oct 086 Previsto 30 Oct-01 Nov 084/084/082 Media de 90 Días 29 Oct 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Oct 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Oct 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Oct-01 Nov 007/007-005/005-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Oct a 01 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 01% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 01% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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