Viendo archivo del miércoles, 1 diciembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Dec 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 335 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Dec 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours.
Region 1130 (N14W40) produced a C1 flare at 01/0622Z and appears to
be growing steadily.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance for additional C-class activity due
to the growth of Region 1130 and the return of old Regions 1124
(N14, L=190) and 1123 (S22, L=171).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on day one (02 December). Quiet to
unsettled conditions with a chance for isolated active periods is
expected on days two and three (03-04 December) due to possible
effects from a CME associated with the disappearing filament
observed on 29 November. The CME observed near N15E40 on 30
November could also contribute to elevated activity on those days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Dec a 04 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Dec 087 Previsto 02 Dec-04 Dec 088/090/090 Media de 90 Días 01 Dec 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Nov 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Dec 002/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Dec-04 Dec 005/005-010/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Dec a 04 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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