Viendo archivo del jueves, 2 diciembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Dec 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 336 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Dec 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours.
New Region 1131 (N30E68) was numbered during the period and is an
Hsx-Alpha type spot group. Region 1130 (N14W52) remained stable and
quiet throughout the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (03-05 December) with a chance for
isolated C-class flares from Region 1130.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated active
periods during the next three days (03-05 December) due to possible
effects from a CME associated with the disappearing filament
observed on 29 November. The CME observed near N15E40 on 30
November may also contribute to elevated activity throughout the
period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Dec a 05 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Dec 087 Previsto 03 Dec-05 Dec 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 02 Dec 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Dec 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Dec 003/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Dec-05 Dec 010/010-008/008-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Dec a 05 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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