Viendo archivo del martes, 28 diciembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Dec 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 362 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Dec 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1138 (N13W26)
developed a beta-gamma magnetic configuration during the period, but
the region remained quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
predominately very low levels for the next three days (29 - 31
December). A slight chance for C-class activity exists from Region
1138.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels during
the period. At approximately 28/0930Z, effects from the 23 December
CME impacted Earths magnetic field. Observations from the ACE
spacecraft indicated a sharp decrease in the Bz component of the IMF
(-13nT at 28/1401Z) while the Bt component reached a maximum value
of 14nT at 28/1315Z. The field responded with an isolated minor
storm period from 28/1200 - 1500Z at all latitudes. Thereafter,
storm conditions diminished to unsettled to active levels through
the end of the summary period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for day one of the
forecast period (29 December) and mostly quiet for days two and
three (30 - 31 December).
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Dec a 31 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Dec 081 Previsto 29 Dec-31 Dec 082/084/084 Media de 90 Días 28 Dec 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Dec 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Dec 009/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Dec-31 Dec 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Dec a 31 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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