Viendo archivo del martes, 10 agosto 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Aug 10 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 222 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Aug 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Three B-class flares were
observed during the period, including a long-duration B8 flare at
10/1701Z from new Region 1097 (N33E71). Region 1096 (N21W33) showed
an increase in spot count as well as areal coverage, and was
classified as a Cri group with a beta magnetic configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for a C-class flare from Region 1096.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be quiet to unsettled, with an isolated active period
possible, on day one (11 August) due to effects of the full-halo CME
observed on 07 August. Quiet levels are expected on days two and
three (12-13 August.)
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Aug a 13 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Aug 084 Previsto 11 Aug-13 Aug 084/084/085 Media de 90 Días 10 Aug 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Aug 007/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Aug 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Aug-13 Aug 010/012-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Aug a 13 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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