Viendo archivo del lunes, 9 agosto 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Aug 09 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 221 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Aug 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Two B1 flares were
observed during the period. New Region 1096 (N19W16) was numbered
and was classified as a Bxo spot group with a beta magnetic
configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. However, there is a chance for a C-class flare from Region
1096.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels, with an
isolated active period between 09/03-06Z. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels on day 1 (10 August)
due to the expected arrival of the CME observed on SOHO EIT on 07
August. This CME was associated with the M1/2f flare at 07/1824Z.
Quiet to unsettled levels are expected on day two (11 August) due to
the expected arrival of a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream.
Quiet levels are expected on day three (12 August).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Aug a 12 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Aug 083 Previsto 10 Aug-12 Aug 084/084/084 Media de 90 Días 09 Aug 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Aug 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Aug 012/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Aug-12 Aug 015/015-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Aug a 12 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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