Viendo archivo del martes, 13 julio 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jul 13 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 194 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jul 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was low. Todays activity consisted of
a C2/Sf flare at 13/1051Z from Region 1087 (N21E20). 1087 decreased
in areal coverage and spot number during the past 24 hours and is
currently classified as a Dso with a beta-gamma magnetic
configuration. A new region, 1088 (S21E12), was numbered today.
1088 is a simple Axx group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a slight chance for an isolated M-class event from
Region 1087.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with a chance for isolated active periods
on days one and two (14-15 July) due to a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream. Quiet conditions are expected to return on day
three (16 July).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jul a 16 Jul
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Jul 079 Previsto 14 Jul-16 Jul 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 13 Jul 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jul 002/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Jul 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Jul-16 Jul 010/012-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jul a 16 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 06% | 02% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 30% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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