Viendo archivo del miércoles, 14 julio 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jul 14 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 195 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Jul 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1087 (N20E08) produced
two C-class events. The first was a C1 flare at 14/1230Z and the
second was a C3 flare at 14/2047Z. 1087 is a Dso group with a
beta-gamma magnetic configuration and has shown little change in
areal coverage and spot number during the last 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a slight chance for an isolated M-class event
from Region 1087.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The solar wind monitor on
the ACE spacecraft indicated a sector boundary crossing into a
positive sector at approximately 14/0900Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with a chance for isolated active periods
on day one (15 July) due to a coronal hole high speed stream. Quiet
conditions are expected to return on days two and three (16-17
July).
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Jul a 17 Jul
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Jul 078 Previsto 15 Jul-17 Jul 078/078/078 Media de 90 Días 14 Jul 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Jul 001/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Jul 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Jul-17 Jul 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Jul a 17 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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