Viendo archivo del domingo, 18 abril 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Apr 18 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 108 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Apr 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained
spotless. A very long duration B1.3 X-ray event was observed at
18/0218Z. The possible source region of this event was from an area
of surging on the east limb between N13 and N27 as observed in
GOES-14 SXI imagery.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels. A slight chance for C-class activity exists as
the new area of interest on the NE limb rotates onto the disk.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet at all latitudes.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be quiet on days one and two (19 - 20 April). Activity
is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated
active periods, on day three (21 April) as two coronal hole wind
streams rotate into a geoeffective position. These coronal holes
are currently located, one each, in the NE and SE quadrants of the
disk and generally lie along a similar longitudinal line.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Apr a 21 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Apr 075 Previsto 19 Apr-21 Apr 078/079/080 Media de 90 Días 18 Apr 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Apr 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Apr 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Apr-21 Apr 005/005-005/005-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Apr a 21 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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