Viendo archivo del sábado, 17 abril 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Apr 17 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 107 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Apr 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible solar disk
remained spotless. A long duration B2.1 X-ray event was observed at
17/0557Z. The possible source region of this event was from an area
of surging on the east limb near N25 as observed in GOES-14 SXI
imagery.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at predominately very low levels. A slight chance for C-class
activity exists as the new area of interest on the NE limb rotates
onto the disk.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet at all latitudes.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (18 April)
due to a geoeffective coronal hole wind stream and possible glancing
effects from the 13 April CME. Mostly quiet levels are expected to
return on days two and three (19 - 20 April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Apr a 20 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Apr 074 Previsto 18 Apr-20 Apr 078/079/080 Media de 90 Días 17 Apr 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Apr 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Apr 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Apr-20 Apr 007/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Apr a 20 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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