Viendo archivo del lunes, 19 abril 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Apr 19 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 109 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Apr 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the last 24 hours. The visible disk remained spotless. A
CME was noted on SOHO and STEREO imagery on the southwest limb at
approximately 18/2300Z. The source of this activity is unknown,
however, it may be related to a prominence located just behind the
southwest limb. In addition, a second CME was observed at 19/1754Z
on the SOHO C2 image. This activity is likely associated with a
filament that lifted off the NW limb (approx. N40W85).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low for the next three days (20-22 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the last 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet for day one (20 April). Quiet to unsettled
levels with isolated active periods are expected for days two and
three (21-22 April). Activity is expected due to possible effects
from a weak CME observed on 15 April and two coronal hole high speed
streams rotating into a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Apr a 22 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Apr 075 Previsto 20 Apr-22 Apr 079/080/082 Media de 90 Días 19 Apr 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Apr 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Apr 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Apr-22 Apr 005/005-010/010-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Apr a 22 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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