Viendo archivo del sábado, 6 febrero 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Feb 06 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 037 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Feb 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. A new region emerged at a
rapid pace today and was numbered Region 1045 (N24E15). The region
produced several C-class events and a M2/Sn event at 06/1859Z. The
region has grown to around 290 millionths of white light area
coverage with a magnetic beta-gamma configuration and a possible
delta magnetic configuration within its interior spots.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for an M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with isolated active conditions, and a
slight chance for isolated minor storming for the next three days
(07-09 February). The increase in activity is expected due to CME
activity from 02-03 February and a recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Feb a 09 Feb
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | red | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Feb 088 Previsto 07 Feb-09 Feb 090/092/094 Media de 90 Días 06 Feb 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Feb 000/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Feb 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Feb-09 Feb 012/012-012/012-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Feb a 09 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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