Viendo archivo del viernes, 5 febrero 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Feb 05 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 036 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Feb 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1043 (N23W46)
produced an A8 x-ray event at about 0200Z which was associated with
a faint CME. A second B2 flare occurred at 1338Z from a region on
the northeast limb. Newly numbered Region 1044 (N18W36) produced a
B3 xray event at 1903Z, but is a small, unipolar group so far. The
northern hemisphere coronal hole is nearing center disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low for the next three days (6-8 February), with only a slight
chance for C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet for day 1 (6 February). Unsettled to active
conditions with a slight chance for minor storming are expected for
days 2 and 3 (7-8 February). The increase in activity is forecast
due to possible effects from the CME observed on 03 February, as
well as the coronal hole mentioned in part 1A.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Feb a 08 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Feb 078 Previsto 06 Feb-08 Feb 080/083/085 Media de 90 Días 05 Feb 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Feb 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Feb 001/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Feb-08 Feb 005/005-012/012-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Feb a 08 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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