Viendo archivo del domingo, 7 febrero 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Feb 07 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 038 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Feb 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was high. Region 1045 (N23W01) produced
two M-class events during the past 24 hours. The first was a M1 at
06/2137Z and the second was a M6/1n at 07/0224Z. The SOHO/LASCO C2
imagery observed a CME off the east limb with the first event and a
full halo with the second event. The M6 x-ray event had an
associated EIT wave, and a Tenflare of 170sfu. This region has
retained a magnetic beta-gamma configuration with a possible delta
magnetic configuration within its interior spots. A new region was
numbered today as Region 1046 (N25E65).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate with M-class events likely. There is a slight chance
for a X-class event from Region 1045.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with isolated active conditions for the
next three days (08-10 February) due to a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream and CME effects.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Feb a 10 Feb
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Feb 090 Previsto 08 Feb-10 Feb 092/094/094 Media de 90 Días 07 Feb 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Feb 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Feb 002/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Feb-10 Feb 010/010-008/009-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Feb a 10 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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