Viendo archivo del viernes, 7 noviembre 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Nov 07 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 312 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Nov 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk was spotless during most of the period. Region 1007
(N35W97) was stable as it crossed the west limb early in the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. A
recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS) commenced early in
the period. Solar wind velocities gradually increased from 282 to
511 km/sec during the period. IMF changes associated with the CH HSS
included increased Bt (peak 14 nT at 07/1202Z) and intermittent
periods of southward Bz (minimum -10 nT at 07/2057Z).
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to range from quiet to active levels on day 1 (08 November)
as the CH HSS continues. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet
to unsettled levels during the remainder of the period (09 - 10
November) as the CH HSS subsides.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Nov a 10 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Nov 068 Previsto 08 Nov-10 Nov 068/068/068 Media de 90 Días 07 Nov 067
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Nov 000/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Nov 012/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Nov-10 Nov 010/015-007/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Nov a 10 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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