Viendo archivo del sábado, 8 noviembre 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Nov 08 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 313 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Nov 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to active levels. ACE
solar wind data indicated Earth remained within a recurrent coronal
hole high-speed stream (CH HSS). Solar wind velocities gradually
increased from approximately 440 to 600 km/sec during the period.
IMF Bt was enhanced at the start of the period (peak 13 nT), then
gradually decreased to a low of 2 nT late in the period. IMF Bz
ranged from 08 to -09 nT during the first half of the period, then
settled to a range of 04 to -04 nT for the rest of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with a slight chance for
active levels on day 1 (09 November) as the CH HSS gradually
subsides. Activity is expected to decrease to mostly quiet levels
for the rest of the period (10 - 11 November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Nov a 11 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Nov 068 Previsto 09 Nov-11 Nov 068/068/068 Media de 90 Días 08 Nov 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Nov 007/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Nov 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Nov-11 Nov 007/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Nov a 11 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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