Viendo archivo del jueves, 26 junio 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jun 26 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 178 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Jun 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours and the solar disk continues to be spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels during the
past 24 hours. Conditions were initially unsettled but increased to
predominantly active levels from 0000-1500Z. A particularly notable
substorm was observed between 0900-1200Z, which elevated some high
latitude sites to storm level activity. Activity levels have
declined to quiet to unsettled levels since 1500Z. Solar wind
signatures showed an increase in velocity from initial values of
about 500 km/s to about 650 km/s by 0800Z. Solar wind velocity
continued to be elevated in the 600-650 km/s range through the
remainder of the day. The solar wind observations were all
consistent with a high speed stream from a favorably positioned
coronal hole.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated
active periods for the first day (27 June) while the solar wind
velocity remains elevated. Conditions are expected to decline to
quiet to unsettled levels for the second day (28 June) and
predominantly quiet for the third day (29 June).
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Jun a 29 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Jun 065 Previsto 27 Jun-29 Jun 065/065/065 Media de 90 Días 26 Jun 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Jun 010/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Jun 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Jun-29 Jun 010/010-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Jun a 29 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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