Viendo archivo del viernes, 27 junio 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jun 27 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 179 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Jun 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours and the solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled. An isolated
active period was observed between 0000 - 0300Z. Solar wind speed
ranged from 590 - 675 km/s during the forecast period. The solar
wind observations were consistent with a high speed stream from a
favorably positioned coronal hole. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled with a chance for isolated active
periods on day one (28 June). Conditions are expected to decline to
quiet to unsettled levels on days two and three (29 - 30 June).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Jun a 30 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Jun 066 Previsto 28 Jun-30 Jun 065/065/065 Media de 90 Días 27 Jun 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Jun 017/016 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Jun 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Jun-30 Jun 007/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Jun a 30 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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