Viendo archivo del miércoles, 25 junio 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jun 25 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 177 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jun 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (26-28 June).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active for the past 24 hours.
A small increase in the solar wind velocity at ACE was observed:
velocity reached approximately 450 km/s by the end of the period. Bz
fluctuated with values ranging up to +/- 10 nT during the past 24
hours. These signatures are consistent with a weak high speed stream
from a coronal hole. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at high levels at the beginning of the
period and dropped below threshold at 24/2205Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance of isolated active
periods during the next two days ( 26-27 June). The activity is
expected to decrease to quiet levels on the third day (28 June).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jun a 28 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Jun 066 Previsto 26 Jun-28 Jun 066/066/066 Media de 90 Días 25 Jun 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jun 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Jun 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Jun-28 Jun 007/008-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jun a 28 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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