Viendo archivo del martes, 22 julio 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jul 22 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 204 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jul 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. Region 1000 (S12W31) is spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The solar wind data at
ACE indicated the onset of a coronal hole high speed stream. Solar
wind velocity increased significantly at about 1300Z to values
ranging from 580-630 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active during day one (23 July), mostly
unsettled on day two (24 July), and quiet on day three (25 July).
The increase in activity is expected due to effects from the
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jul a 25 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Jul 066 Previsto 23 Jul-25 Jul 066/066/066 Media de 90 Días 22 Jul 067
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jul 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Jul 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Jul-25 Jul 015/015-010/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jul a 25 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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