Viendo archivo del viernes, 29 febrero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Feb 29 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 060 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Feb 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity was very low. A weak CME was observed
at 29/0025Z from STEREO and LASCO imagery in the vicinity of Region
983, which is approaching the west limb at S06. This activity does
not appear to be Earth directed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to minor storm conditions.
Solar wind speed remained elevated due to the continued influence of
a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominately unsettled levels, with isolated
active periods for 01-02 March. Conditions are expected to decrease
to quiet to unsettled levels on 03 March as the high speed stream
rotates out of a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Mar a 03 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Feb 070 Previsto 01 Mar-03 Mar 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 29 Feb 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Feb 017/022 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Feb 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Mar-03 Mar 012/015-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Mar a 03 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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