Viendo archivo del sábado, 2 febrero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Feb 02 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 033 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Feb 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. Active
to minor storm levels occurred between 01/2100Z and 02/0600Z,
followed by quiet to unsettled levels for the remainder of the
period. A high speed stream with wind speeds of approximately 580 to
620 km/s was responsible for the increase in geomagnetic activity.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled with isolated active periods on days
1 and 2 (03-04 February) as the high speed stream continues.
Conditions are expected to decline to quiet to unsettled levels on
day 3 (05 February).
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Feb a 05 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Feb 072 Previsto 03 Feb-05 Feb 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 02 Feb 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Feb 010/018 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Feb 018/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Feb-05 Feb 012/015-010/015-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Feb a 05 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 01% |
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