Viendo archivo del domingo, 8 abril 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Apr 08 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 098 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Apr 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible
disk remains void of sunspots. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels on 09 April due to the
onset of a recurrent coronal hole. Isolated minor to major storm
periods are possible once the coronal hole becomes geoeffective.
Unsettled to isolated active conditions are expected on 10 April.
Predominantly quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 11 April
as the coronal hole wanes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Apr a 11 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Apr 071 Previsto 09 Apr-11 Apr 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 08 Apr 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Apr 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Apr 003/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Apr-11 Apr 015/015-010/010-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Apr a 11 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 05% | 05% |
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