Viendo archivo del lunes, 9 abril 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Apr 09 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 099 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Apr 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No new regions were
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. The magnetic structure of
the solar wind appears to be consistent with a co-rotating
interaction region coupled with a solar sector boundary crossing.
Solar wind increased from around 350 km/s to 480 km/s by
approximately 09/1700 UTC. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods
possible on 10 April due to coronal hole activity. On 11 and 12
April, conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Apr a 12 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Apr 070 Previsto 10 Apr-12 Apr 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 09 Apr 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Apr 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Apr 008/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Apr-12 Apr 010/015-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Apr a 12 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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