Viendo archivo del lunes, 12 marzo 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Mar 12 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 071 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Mar 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity remained at very low levels. No flares
were recorded during the period. Region 946 (N10W72) underwent
decay and is classified as an Hsx alpha sunspot group. No new
regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. The elevated
conditions were due to the onset of a recurrent coronal hole high
speed stream. Solar wind speeds have steadily increased to
approximately 570 km/sec at the time of this writing.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to active levels. Isolated minor storm
conditions are possible on 13 March due to a recurrent coronal hole.
Predominantly unsettled to active levels are expected on 14 March.
A return to quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 15 March
as the coronal hole wanes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Mar a 15 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Mar 071 Previsto 13 Mar-15 Mar 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 12 Mar 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Mar 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Mar 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Mar-15 Mar 015/020-010/015-006/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Mar a 15 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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