Viendo archivo del jueves, 31 agosto 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Aug 31 2309 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 243 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Aug 2006 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels today. Region 905 (S08W67) produced multiple B-class flares during the period. Region 906 (S09W51) is a rapidly emerging, newly numbered region. This region produced a B7 x-ray event that occurred at 31/1748Z and had an associated Type IV radio emission in addition to a Tenflare with a peak flux of 740 sfu.IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels. There is a chance for an isolated C-class flares
from both Regions 905 and 906.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels. A chance
for active to isolated minor storm conditions are possible on 03
September due to a recurrent coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Sep a 03 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 05% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Aug 083 Previsto 01 Sep-03 Sep 090/095/090 Media de 90 Días 31 Aug 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Aug 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Aug 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Sep-03 Sep 004/005-004/010-012/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Sep a 03 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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