Viendo archivo del viernes, 1 septiembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Sep 01 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 244 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Sep 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity increased to low levels today. Region
906 (S09W65) produced the largest flare of the period, a C1 x-ray
event that occurred at 01/0506Z. Analysis in white light indicates
that the sunspot growth rate has slowed and the region is classified
as a Dso beta group. Region 905 (S08W81) has shown steady decay
over the period and has been classified an Hax alpha sunspot group.
Updated LASCO imagery depicts a CME resulting from yesterday's B7
x-ray flare that does not appear to be Earth-directed. No new
regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very to low levels. Region 906 has the potential to produce C-class
flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels. A chance
for active to isolated minor storm conditions are possible on 03
September due to a favorably positioned coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Sep a 04 Sep
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Sep 077 Previsto 02 Sep-04 Sep 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 01 Sep 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 Aug 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Sep 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Sep-04 Sep 008/010-012/020-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Sep a 04 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 05% |
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