Viendo archivo del miércoles, 30 agosto 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Aug 30 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 242 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Aug 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed
remains elevated due to a coronal hole high speed stream, however,
velocity is steadily decreasing as this coronal hole rotates out of
a geoeffective position.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the forecast period (31 August - 02
September). Towards the end of the forecast period another coronal
hole high speed stream will rotate into a geoeffective position and
its effects may be seen on day three of the forecast period though
the timing is imprecise.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Aug a 02 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Aug 074 Previsto 31 Aug-02 Sep 075/075/070 Media de 90 Días 30 Aug 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Aug 009/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Aug 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Aug-02 Sep 002/005-004/005-004/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Aug a 02 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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