Viendo archivo del martes, 6 junio 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jun 07 0034 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 157 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Jun 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity continues at very low levels. No new
growth was observed in Region 892 (S07E41), and the region appears
to have simplified. New Region 893 (S03E64) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a slight chance for a C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. A large
recurrent coronal hole is rotating into a geoeffective position.
Periods of sustained southward IMF Bz resulted in the most disturbed
periods.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels. A large coronal
hole is rotating into a geoeffective position and is expected to
produce occasional active to minor storm periods over the next two
days. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 09 June.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Jun a 09 Jun
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Jun 078 Previsto 07 Jun-09 Jun 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 06 Jun 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Jun 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Jun 012/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Jun-09 Jun 020/020-015/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Jun a 09 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 45% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
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