Viendo archivo del lunes, 5 junio 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jun 05 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 156 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Jun 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 892
(S08E53) continues in a growth phase and now exhibits an EKI
beta-gamma sunspot group with a possible delta configuration in the
leader spots. The overlying plage field has also intensified, but
flare activity was limited to isolated B-class events.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Region 892 has potential for C-class activity. An isolated M-class
flare is possible.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet with isolated unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels. Quiet to
unsettled conditions are expected on 06 June. A large recurrent
coronal hole is expected to rotate into a geoeffective position on
07 June. Expect active levels with occasional minor storm periods on
07 and 08 June.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Jun a 08 Jun
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Jun 078 Previsto 06 Jun-08 Jun 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 05 Jun 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Jun 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Jun 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Jun-08 Jun 005/008-020/020-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Jun a 08 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 50% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 05% |
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