Viendo archivo del jueves, 13 abril 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Apr 13 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 103 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Apr 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Only a few B-class flares
occurred. All sunspot regions were relatively small and simple.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. A small C-class flare is possible.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active. Solar wind
observations suggest the onset of a coronal hole high speed stream
as the likely cause of the activity.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled to active with the possibility of
isolated storm conditions as the high-speed stream induced activity
continues.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Apr a 16 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Apr 080 Previsto 14 Apr-16 Apr 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 13 Apr 080
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Apr 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Apr 015/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Apr-16 Apr 020/030-015/040-010/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Apr a 16 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
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