Viendo archivo del viernes, 18 noviembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Nov 18 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 322 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Nov 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity increased to moderate levels. Region
822 (S07E02) produced an M1/Sf flare which occurred at 18/0034Z.
Multiple B and C-class flares were also recorded from Region 822.
This region appears to have decayed slightly during the past 24
hours. Several B and C-class x-ray flares were also observed from a
source region just beyond the northwest solar limb. No new regions
were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Region 822 may be capable of producing an
isolated major flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels on 19 November. Predominantly quiet
to unsettled conditions are expected on 20 November. Isolated
active periods will be possible on 21 November due to a solar sector
boundary crossing. There is a slight chance that weak transient
effects resulting from the disappearing solar filament that occurred
late on 16 November, may help to enhance the geomagnetic field on 21
November.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Nov a 21 Nov
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Nov 101 Previsto 19 Nov-21 Nov 100/100/095 Media de 90 Días 18 Nov 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Nov 001/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Nov 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Nov-21 Nov 005/005-007/007-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Nov a 21 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 10% |
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