Viendo archivo del jueves, 17 noviembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Nov 17 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 321 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Nov 2005 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 822 (S07E15) produced numerous B-class flares during the last 24 hours. The largest of these included a B5.8/Sf event occurring at 17/0143Z and a B6.6 event occurring at 17/0314Z. A slight growth in the number of sunspots was observed during this period. This region remains a beta-gamma spot group.IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on 18-19 November. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected on 20 November.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Nov a 20 Nov
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Nov 101 Previsto 18 Nov-20 Nov 100/100/100 Media de 90 Días 17 Nov 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Nov 001/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Nov 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Nov-20 Nov 005/005-005/005-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Nov a 20 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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