Viendo archivo del miércoles, 22 junio 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jun 22 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 173 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jun 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 780 (S08W01) produced a
C1.8/Sf flare at 1633 UTC. Region 779 (S19W82) is in decay and is
rotating around the west limb quietly.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Regions 779 and 780 may produce C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on 23 June. Unsettled to active levels are
expected on 24 and 25 June, with a chance for isolated minor
storming as a coronal hole high speed solar wind stream becomes
geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jun a 25 Jun
| Clase M | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Jun 080 Previsto 23 Jun-25 Jun 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 22 Jun 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jun 001/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Jun 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Jun-25 Jun 005/008-010/012-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jun a 25 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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