Viendo archivo del lunes, 30 mayo 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 May 30 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 150 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 May 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was very low. New Region 771 (N24W33)
was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to severe storm conditions.
Heightened activity was due to the resulting effects of a
geoeffective coronal hole high speed stream and CME activity from 26
May. Though the solar wind speed at ACE was relatively low, Bz
remained steadily south at approximately 15 nT for several hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active with minor storm periods possible on
31 May. Conditions are expected to abate until a possible weak
coronal hole high speed stream will move into geoeffective position
on 02 May.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 May a 02 Jun
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 May 095 Previsto 31 May-02 Jun 095/095/095 Media de 90 Días 30 May 092
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 May 016/022 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 May 025/060 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 May-02 Jun 012/018-008/012-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 May a 02 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 05% |
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