Viendo archivo del domingo, 26 junio 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jun 26 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 177 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Jun 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. A C1 flare was
observed late in the period from a source area near N15 on the east
solar limb. The flare occurred at 26/2035Z. Several B-class flares
during the period were also attributed to this yet visible region in
H-alpha. Another full halo CME was observed today on SOHO/LASCO
imagery and it appears to be back-sided. The visible disk is
currently spotless. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels. An active source region that is just beyond
the northeast limb appears to have the capability of producing
isolated C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels today. Solar
winds speeds have dropped to 500 km/sec and it appears the weak
coronal hole is waning. The greater than 2 MeV electrons at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated active
conditions are possible on 28 June due to the CME activity seen
yesterday that was related to disappearing solar filaments.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Jun a 29 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Jun 079 Previsto 27 Jun-29 Jun 080/085/085 Media de 90 Días 26 Jun 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Jun 009/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Jun 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Jun-29 Jun 010/010-012/012-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Jun a 29 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
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